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Demographic bomb threats caused by human ... Ageing high

Demographic bomb threats caused by human ... Ageing high
New York, Nizar AbboudAlthough Praying for a long life is on everyone's lips, there is no one wants to see himself incapacitated, very old, a burden to others in the late years old. Unfortunately this is the picture that began to paint modern features in many societies, especially in the northern half of the globe.




A phenomenon that threatens many of the serious consequences on the future of the human aspects of demographic, economic, social, health, and even security. Large areas, villages and cities in Europe and Russia are almost deserted, or devoid of population due to migration on the one hand, and the low proportion of births on the other. Not to mention the other reasons, such as early age-associated diseases, such as AIDS and the spread of drugs, or military service in the arena of war settlement.




According to international figures, the proportion of elderly people in Europe were a fifth of the total population. This means that Europe Schacht before the world forty years. It is also an increase by 50 percent from their counterparts in developing countries, where, in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean Basin to ten. In Africa, the share of older persons does not exceed 1 / 19, meaning that the pace of rapid change in the ethnic composition of the population through compensation from the younger communities. Is being clearly in the European cities that are colored rather than white.At the end of last year the number of elderly people worldwide (who are over sixty years of age) 737 million. And maintains two-thirds of this number in the most advanced industrial countries.The Department expects the population in the United Nations that the number jumps to two billion people after forty years, while taking the number of inhabitants of the earth instead of deflation increase. Then the number of senators will be greater than the number of children and youths under the age of 14 years.




With aging low productivity and consumption, and this is incompatible with the fundamental pattern-based economy. The greatest problem for Western capitalism, the production well leave quickly to where the younger population density in Asia in particular. In the most advanced industrial countries, the proportion of people over the age of 80 years, representing 14 percent of the total who are over sixty years of age.Incidence of large economic consequences on communities, which must care for the elderly for a longer period, with forecasts for a rise during the next four decades to 20 percent.




With luxury lifestyle, and advances in medical treatment, is also expected to double the number of people over the age of a century faster than ever, it is up in 2050 to nine those currently, none of the 454 is currently in alpha to 4.1 million after forty years.




The world has witnessed the growth of this phenomenon years after the end of World War II.Humankind has, with an end of the wars of genocide since the fifties, relatively, prolonging human life for a total of 20 years, the average present age of 68 years. The current death rate, can an adult 60 years old expect to live for 18 more years if male, and 21 years if the females.Here, genes should not be underestimated women. It is true that women look weaker than men physically, but they last for longer than he did. This estimate is, of course, differs from region to region, depending on the conditions of health, environmental and living conditions, security and social, as well as economic. This means that the number of elderly females remain much higher than the males. This percentage will grow in the coming decades, dropping the number of elderly males from 83 per hundred women currently, to 60 per hundred forty years later. This phenomenon has economic consequences. The girl who married at an earlier age of the boys is slated to capture the wealth of the family for a longer period in late life. However, most men die married, while the majority of women die as widows.




Among the factors that will determine the fate of the peoples in the foreseeable future, the question of the number of workers versus retirees. In the fifties was the number of people under the age of 46 years, 12 people, going down by a quarter now become 9 persons. This number is expected to decline because only 4 in 2050.There is no doubt that the proportion of those able to work to control the proportion of retirees often in the social security system, from pensions to public health services, as well as protection, care and social security. Therefore resorted to many Western countries finally to raise the retirement age to the border than ever before, reaching in some 67 years after it was ranged between 45 and 60 years a few decades ago.




This sense of human processed on the same, without the wars of genocide, only through the cessation of the life course and manipulate natural growth of population below take into account the risk of epidemics, which kill tens of millions of times. There is no doubt that the lifestyle of working parents have a serious negative role in providing an appropriate environment for child bearing and child rearing. The failure of communities to secure housing and free education course weakens the willingness to give birth for the lack of compensatory posed by population and the aging of societies.






This image has become necessary to reconsider the concepts propounded in the second half of the twentieth century, which warns all of The Population Bomb, and the risks of nature's ability to meet their needs. When these theories emerged India and China was suffering famine is no longer in place. The number of inhabitants of these two countries in particular has more than once, in turn, improved the living conditions of the population with improved management of natural resources and the level of education and quality of production. While noting that countries with small populations such as New Zealand (4 million) for example, suffer unemployment and recession, while the population is supposed to enjoy the prosperity and abundance. Canada does not seem small population is also immune from the crisis of unemployment, despite huge natural resources. Wealth is not accompanied by population growth makes it a suitable production competitive in the market.




This will leave the serious demographic imbalance effects on the balance of payments of the countries relatively soon, and may cause setbacks global nature of the tsunami. In the United States, for example, increase the national debt to retirees over a hundred trillion dollars. If there is no stream disproportionate contributions to the social security system, and equal to the proportion of spending on retirees from the salaries and care, the state can become full threatened with bankruptcy.



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